Lockdown can't persist until a validated treatment or vaccine. I take COVID very seriously, and I don't think it's reasonable to pursue herd immunity. But we need to start seeing some solid proposals for the next phase of the war.
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Ubiquitous/freq testing so we can react the way we shelter from hurricanes. Open economy wo will disproportionately impact ppl w less access to health care, low air/water quality, blue collar (lots of white collar co went WFH before lockdown & will prob maintain that optionality)
Sorry, hard disagree on this one — neither our economy nor our psychology are built to weather rolling lockdowns, it's a recipe for simultaneous supply chain destruction + increasing noncompliance
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Does it have to manifest as rolling lockdowns? If we really get a handle on the virus and have sufficiently widespread testing, can we use testing+contact tracing to quarantine only infected/likely infected people?
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Yes exactly how frequent & ubiquitous testing would be the way out — eg if everyone tested themselves in the morning, could know if they were a risk and stay home, reducing R0 on individual level. If there is an outbreak, then lock down a radius that would overwhelm medics
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Testing is highly highly overrated. Don’t know if this would work for the US but...https://twitter.com/thepericulum/status/1247025694066032641?s=20 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Portions of our economy are thriving (streaming, several software companies)..by economy I specifically meant more service/labor type work. I don’t see a path wo rolling lockdowns&green areas before vaccine that isn’t irresponsibly putting vulnerable more at risk
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This is closer to what I mean (I strongly agree w myself lol) https://twitter.com/auderdy/status/1247794786313981954?s=21 …https://twitter.com/auderdy/status/1247794786313981954 …
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