Lockdown can't persist until a validated treatment or vaccine. I take COVID very seriously, and I don't think it's reasonable to pursue herd immunity. But we need to start seeing some solid proposals for the next phase of the war.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Consider this: average 1 week of incubation, up to 2 weeks; 1 week or so mild symptoms, 2 weeks severe symptoms. So if x% test positive asymptomatic, should we assume a quarter of those are still in the incubation period?
No. It's going to be much higher than that, assuming exponential growth. Why? Same issue as before. You can expect that roughly half of your extant cases were contracted in the last week. Eventually lockdowns stretch that timespan.