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When news media make claims that are actually predictions but are presented as facts, they can shift rapidly between the two. When the prediction succeeds, it's "we reported the facts first." When it fails, it's "this was a reasonable prediction to make given what we knew then."https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1247102091702571013 …
The reason this will cost credibility is the turnaround time. When a prediction fails fast, it looks like poor judgment or incompetence. When it fails slowly, people have a hard time remembering what the info environment was at the time it was made & have largely stopped caring
A crooked shell game.
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