Nope, definitely not. The reason for "maybe consider" is what Scott writes in this post:https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/31/ssc-journal-club-macintyre-on-cloth-masks/ …
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Trying to have the courage of my convictions, here, but not more courage than I have convictions. I give, like, a 40% chance that cloth helps and a 30% chance it hurts and a 30% chance that we are never able to detect an effect of any kind.
I think "30% hurts" is *really* high. No study is perfect, but the one everyone is passing around does not, in any meaningful sense, have a control group. Second, looking at health workers who'd be at high risk even in full PPE w/ decontamination protocols doesn't tell us much.
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
tyfys
- Show replies
-
-
-
yeah, that's fair. Divia's point (that having a reservoir close to your face potentially matters a lot for bacteria, and can't for viruses) made me update a little; I'd probably put it lower now
-
I'm curious where that 30% is coming from. is it a specific model of how harm could happen? or just a general "medicine is messy we should be less confident" thing?
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
These are abstinence-only level arguments she is making
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.