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So here I am using media anecdotes & messages from people [claiming to be] doctors & friends-of-friends-in-Spain to give context to data that could be misinterpreted a hundred ways. I don't think this is a terrible thing to do, but the fail rate on truth-seeking that way is high
Anyway, I'm sitting down to a clean spreadsheet and making a list of predictions with confidence level, because I think it's time to apply a little personal epistemic hygiene. This firehose of narratives and data and group chat pass-alongs is unreal
Do you plan to share this spreadsheet?
Not sure if I will publicly — at least, I'm giving myself permission to keep it 100% private while I'm writing it up so that I don't end up subconsciously adjusting my predictions for public consumption
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