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For example, when I look at Italy's CFR by age, how am I to know whether the elderly are dying at such a tremendously higher rate because they're too sick to help, or because they're receiving palliative care while the young get put on ventilators?
So here I am using media anecdotes & messages from people [claiming to be] doctors & friends-of-friends-in-Spain to give context to data that could be misinterpreted a hundred ways. I don't think this is a terrible thing to do, but the fail rate on truth-seeking that way is high
Anyway, I'm sitting down to a clean spreadsheet and making a list of predictions with confidence level, because I think it's time to apply a little personal epistemic hygiene. This firehose of narratives and data and group chat pass-alongs is unreal
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