Not trying to undercut anybody's narrative here, but if you were wrong about this in February I think you probably ought to demand a pretty massive internal model overhaul in order to believe you're right *now*
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I'm more interested in the predictions made mid-Februaryhttps://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/1244386666694885376 …
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I actually think it's not going to end as poorly as I did mid-Feb. back then I was expecting up to 1 million dead in the US. (320 million x 30% infection rate x 1% CFR.) We've shown an unexpected ability to expand capacity for testing and isolation.
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