my single greatest concern (since the beginning) is that the numbers out of china vastly misled people -- not because of their purported accuracy, but because they trended towards "what happens if everyone gets chloroquine-on-diagnosis, antivirals, and early ventilation"
The public was led to believe that "this generally only kills the elderly" inferred "this generally only hospitalizes the elderly." But this just isn't true, and it has massive implications for policy as the hospital systems in all the major US outbreak cities groan under strainhttps://twitter.com/EpsilonTheory/status/1243327948385652736 …
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"0.7-3% death rate with ideal treatment conditions" gets parsed as "ah, it's not so bad, nothing to worry about"
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I started worrying about this when I found out obesity is a risk factor...
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Turns Out, young Americans have lots of comorbidity. Shocker!
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The number of missteps is unfathomable.
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I think a lot of MD thought that as well until they saw it in their own care ! In a way, this is an intelligence failure (due to China oppacity). Or a least a failure of healthcare system to properly interact with intel, since eg US intel had the info but it got nowhere...
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