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No, not necessarily. The problem is that there is a ~2-week delay (due to incubation, symptoms slowly arising after) between the actual state of the problem and our knowing about it. Lockdown allows us to see where we stand without making the problem even worse
If after 2 weeks of lockdown the regional medical system is still functional and new cases are beginning to drop at a rate that appears not to overwhelm surge capacity, you can start to relax restrictions and allow *some* new infections
The critical thing is that the fatality rate appears to be something in the realm of 0.5-1% with treatment available and ~2-6% where healthcare systems have been inundated to a greater or lesser degree. And all-cause mortality will also rise where hospitals are overwhelmed.
So even if you *have* to accept some spread of a relatively dangerous illness in order to keep society functional, you really, really want to make sure it's slow enough for the hospitals to keep up
Yes, I believe I understand; however, it seems that you need to go back into a more controlled state shortly after the new infections arise; it's unlikely you can put forward a social policy that people can follow that will allow you to tightly control the infection rate.
Though I am confused, what do you see as the end condition? If immunity is only temporary, it seems you either go into a state of alternating controls, or you seek to completely eliminate the virus.
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