Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️

IMO, if you're not talking about ICU surge capacity, you're likely missing the forest for the trees. It's understandable, but increasingly a distraction. The chief issue is healthcare overwhelm.

Yes! *With* medical care available. This is why I think the *entire* conversation is about ICU capacity. Show me a no-treatment condition cruise ship with similar numbers, and I'll absolutely stop worrying.

@amasad your data isn't even right. Diamond princess had 700 infections and 7 deaths, that's 1%. Another 14 passengers (2%) are still in critical care. And it's absolutely more skewed by noise than the SK data

we'd need to 1/ know the age distribution of all the infected (do you have that information? I don't) 2/ wait for the rest of the infected (severe and otherwise) to resolve and 3/ account for noise in such small numbers also, comorbidity

but we just don't have this data so the next best thing we can do is triangulate wither larger populations & sample sizes