It was incredibly wise for the bay area to lockdown sooner rather than later **and coordinate the lockdown across multiple counties.** Very appreciative to everyone involved in this decision. A gift to the entire country, because we'll have an early data point for this strategy.https://twitter.com/sfchronicle/status/1239620219376504832 …
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Effective social distancing because of SARS experience, aggressive tracking of infected, likely lower R0 because of heat
I'm hoping that after get testing ramped up, have evidence of fairly solid new-case management after 2-3 weeks, get used to enforced 6-foot distancing as a community, etc., we'll be able to relax the rules without causing a spike
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I'm sceptical of that time frame tbh... number of cases around are possibly too high already for distancing techniques to work. Again, there's a reason why Wuhan still in lock down but other places in China not. I'm sure they've done the simulations
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It'll be a month minimum before the lockdown is let up. Then they'll have to slowly allow activities to restart. They need aggressive testing though and tracking though. Give everyone a wearable that measures temperature
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