I most definitely do not want to endorse the UK's strategy, but your summary of it does not seem accurate.
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Replying to @webdevMason
It seems very likely that immunity will last nearly forever in survivors
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Replying to @webdevMason
Curt Fischer Retweeted BlishLab
Curt Fischer added,
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Replying to @fischer_cr @webdevMason
The UK strategy seems to me like a bet that they can isolate susceptible populations (mainly old folks) from less susceptible until heard immunity develops
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Replying to @fischer_cr
The study you linked was testing for re-infection immediately after recovery. I don't know why you would assume that equates to lifelong immunity, especially when immunity for other coronaviruses wanes within a few months to a few years.
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Replying to @webdevMason
The relevant time scale here is days, not months/years. Flattening the curve means going down from 20-40% increases per day.
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Replying to @fischer_cr
That will certainly be the UK's first problem. What I'm pointing out here is that aiming for "herd immunity" may end up being a terribly risky strategy even if the NHS manages to keep up with infections, which I don't expect will happen
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Replying to @webdevMason
It may not. If they make it far enough to where there are significant numbers of survivors, here's a technique that may helphttps://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2820%2930141-9/fulltext …
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Treatments and vaccines are coming. Treatments will come first. None are likely to be in wide use within the next 2-4 weeks, which is the timeline I think quite probable for the NHS to be thrown into relative chaos
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