If there is *any* lesson we should be gathering from the global COVID-19 data, it's that you simply will not overshoot with regard to precautions. Nobody has been too early to this thing. If you try to moderate the response, you *will* be on the wrong side of this.
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I think it's likely that the schools won't close until the hospital infrastructure is already visibly overwhelmed (or close) and excess deaths are unavoidable. By that point, everyone who can WFH will, and very few people will be willing to work if it may bring the virus home.
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