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In my opinion, this is the COVID-19 stat to watch: *new* cases, *excluding* China. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/ …pic.twitter.com/AUoGj2gUxf
Yes. A few subcategories — - countries whose communications can't be regarded reliable (e.g. Iran) - countries whose political/geographic features likely make their results globally unreproduceable (e.g. China, Singapore) - countries that aren't testing at scale (e.g. US!)https://twitter.com/gbittlingmayer/status/1234191100841267200 …
Also, the track of new cases IN China. Are they getting it under control? & What is that time line?
If you want detailed analysis, I've been crunching a lot of numbers trying to estimate potential outcomes for this virus. I've put significant effort into framing those numbers for healthy psychological absorption and understanding. Hope this helps.http://tinyurl.com/sv5v4vc
Might be a good idea to use hand sanitizer immediately after voting on Super Tuesday. Thousand will be touching the same voting devices.
This one seems better. The graph at the bottom right can be configured to exclude China: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 …
Also this, which shows it peaked in China Mid Feb. Rest of the world will likely lag 1-2 monthspic.twitter.com/PIiMZ5x3fF
That would be fantastic if the worldwide trend is the same way, especially with the "panic" and everyone trying to prepare. I give us a good chance.
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