I wouldn't be so sure about this. People are upset about pay-to-play healthcare when there's enough for everybody. If you've got widespread transmission on an illness w/ 10-20% requiring hospitalization, people will want to buy their way out of the queue/lotteryhttps://twitter.com/naval/status/1232067183338897408 …
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This is probably pretty bad for Trump, but moreso because it is a very bad thing (including for the otherwise strong economy) and it's happening while he's in office. Voting behavior doesn't really track causality or counterfactuals
Even with widespread community spread in the US prior to November, I'm anticipating a Trump win. Excepting the betting markets, everyone seems to be underestimating just how many of the long-standing indicators are in his favor right now
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Comes down to Bernie’s ability to expand the voter base and the inexorable vise of demographics.
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How confident are you that Bernie is the nominee (independent of whether he gets most pledged delegates)?
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Even if the US economy crashes?
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