But these mild patients are still vectors and go farther and evade all screening, right? 
It means current measures for containment are doomed to fail.
They have failed.https://twitter.com/angie_rasmussen/status/1230471521812074496 …
-
Devil's Advocate: It was increasingly clear that this was going pandemic even with the early Chinese numbers. In that case, more asymptomatic -> fewer deaths and also a faster spread, which might help prevent the recession.
If COVID-19 has the ~2% mortality rate currently assumed and infects the same percentage of the population as the 1918 Spanish flu did, in absolute numbers it will kill roughly the same number of people and be one of the deadliest events on the whole of the human timeline
-
-
Yes, but the more asymptomatic people we miss, the further that death rate drops... if you thought we were eventually going to converge to pandemic before a vaccine anyways. /I'm on a breathing machine at least once a year for seasonal allergies. I have worse odds than most.
-
I mean, yeah, you can tinker with that number indefinitely. The bottom line is that people have really poor intuitions for scale, and insofar as a lower death rate enables greater and faster spread, it's not the tradeoff you want to be making in 2020.
- 1 more reply
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.