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I can't. I was too young and in another country, and I don't really track the media much even now. I'm happy to concede that journalists don't pay much price for bad predictions, but if this should cause a bias I think it would be in favor of overblowing threats.
If journalists were considering expected value, I think they would, and their predictions would be better for it. In reality, I believe they're just playing the odds. A close call or a short-lived pandemic is more likely than a 1918 scenario
Another possible explanation: journalists are mostly stupid. After 20 years in the media, I can tell you from experience it is very rare to meet an intelligent journalist. Smart people in journalism quickly move onto to other things.
This take is holding very well today
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