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In order to understand the "don't worry about coronavirus, worry about the flu" coverage, you have to understand that there will be virtually no consequences for the press for getting this wrong, and plausibly some "we told you so" cred otherwise
Listen to the NYT Daily podcast ep titled "The Lessons of 2016." These people still somehow think that Trump was some sort of probablistic abnormality, a long shot they could not possibly have seen coming. There's zero sense of responsibility re: predictive accuracy
This is subtle but important: the media holds itself accountable for having *a good story about why it said what it said,* not for accuracy or a strong record of prediction.
Wouldn't it be the opposite? If nCoV goes away, we'll forget about it (and those who prophesied doom around it). But if it blows up we'll remember who said what. Like we remember the people who predicted the real financial crisis, not those who predicted the non-existent ones.
Name one media person, off the top of your head, who said the housing bubble stuff was overblown
It will definitely get out of control. It will spread like influenza. It is just a matter of time (or entropy).
Or perhaps the media is, for once, listening to the experts. Should the CDC be worried about coronvirus? Yes. Should the general public in the US? No - only 12 cases.https://www.pressenza.com/2020/02/the-flu-has-killed-10000-americans-this-season/ …
I’m just 
at the videos of people being dragged off if they are suspected and it doesn’t add up. You don’t do that for flu. issue is you can’t trust any news out of China. good journalists would be skeptical and investigate instead of repeating CCP lines
What would be the consequences for you getting this claim about the press wrong?
It's also the by far most likely outcome (that nCoV affects fewer people in West than the 2019-2020 flu). So, there's that.
Uh...
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