We would be in a very different place if the Democrats had made their peace with Trump's election and then evidence of impeachable offenses had emerged. As it stands I can't shake the sense that we are watching the republic come apart before our eyes.
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I'm not saying Trump can't lose, but it will be an extraordinarily unusual historical event if he does.
The situation has a *lot* of highly unusual features, certainly — but by the numbers, he's just not that atypical. His approval rating, for example, is actually very close to where Obama's was at the same point in his presidency (though Trump has never reached Obama's high point)pic.twitter.com/lD3U8YjjNy
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More importantly, voters tend to favor "the devil they know." Probably the greatest boon to Democrats in 2016 was the argument that Trump's a maniac who may well kill us all within the month if given the nuclear codes. They've lost that advantage. It's an uphill battle from here.
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If there was such a thing as "disapprove harder than I previously thought I ever could disapprove of a president", would we have a way to measure it?
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