We would be in a very different place if the Democrats had made their peace with Trump's election and then evidence of impeachable offenses had emerged. As it stands I can't shake the sense that we are watching the republic come apart before our eyes.
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Elected sitting presidents seeking re-election very, very rarely fail to get it. When they do fail, they're facing a weak economy (Trump is not) and/or an extremely strong cross-party-popular opponent (Trump almost certainly will not be).
I'm not saying Trump can't lose, but it will be an extraordinarily unusual historical event if he does.
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The situation has a *lot* of highly unusual features, certainly — but by the numbers, he's just not that atypical. His approval rating, for example, is actually very close to where Obama's was at the same point in his presidency (though Trump has never reached Obama's high point)pic.twitter.com/lD3U8YjjNy
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Not extraordinarily unusual. It's true that incumbants have advantages of the economy is not in a recession. However, Trump has many vulnerabilities.
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