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US hit its lowest fertility rate ever last year and will do it again this year. The trend will continue. "No one ever had a child again" is not the lose condition and the fire-setting will start long before anything like that.
FWIW a big issue w/ low fertility in broken housing markets is that it's very tough to move far enough away to find affordability & still be close enough to keep your job + community. Preparing for kids is tricky & it's a terrible idea to force people to rebuild their lives first
Even if you’re willing to rebuild your life and have no community, it’s hard. I knew when I moved to California at 35 that I was essentially giving up on having a family, because there’s just no sufficiently affordable housing in-state anywhere near most jobs to make it work.
In theory I could have “moved to the suburbs” and chosen Arizona over LA, but I spent a year watching the job market in Phoenix for law clerks and it was terrifying. It’s not clear to me that I would have had a better chance there, and failure would have hurt worse.
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