This poll will give deceiving results. Even if Trump has well under a 50% of winning he'll still win this poll since the Democratic candidates are split between Biden and "other". Trump's percentage would greatly decrease if the Democrats were merged.
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If someone thinks that odds(Trump) > odds(other) AND o(Trump) > o(Biden), they would vote Trump here. So it seems unlikely that someone would vote non-Trump. They'd have to believe that Trump has a low chance of winning the election, or that Biden isn't the Dem front-runner.
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Maybe I'm way off-base and people really do think that Trump is going to lose in a land-slide. That seems unbelievable to me when he has a 45% approval rating. But I think the poll reduces to the question "Will trump lose in a land-slide or not?"
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