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Hmm, IMO there's an important distinction between the axes "appropriate confidence ranges" and "perceived appropriateness of strength/weakness of claim/value." The Overton window affects both, but especially the latter, and it doesn't feel like it ought to be so context-dependent
It is possible to have relatively low confidence in a strong claim, and there's a difference between saying "it's probably generally sensible to have lower confidence in stronger claims" and "it's generally sensible to hold weaker claims"
