The role of luck is decisive, as anyone who agrees with Sam Harris’s ideas on free will would agree.
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This is an insanely unhealthy perspective that you will simply not find among many people who have accomplished unlikely things.
I would not bet on you. This is a harsh thing to say, and I'm saying it in the hopes that it flips some switch that's rusted over.
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When I succeed at something difficult I expected to fail at, I say I was lucky. If I want to ATTEMPT something difficult, I first say "I need to be aggressive and tough (scrappy) to accomplish this." I don't just say "I need luck" and just hope things work out.
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My point (and I think Sam’s point) is that your ability, and to the degree which you can be scrappy and aggressive are also fundamentally due to luck
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