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The role of luck is decisive, as anyone who agrees with Sam Harris’s ideas on free will would agree.
I think there's a really unfortunate and pernicious misreading of SH's ideas that you may be falling prey to here
Please explain how I’m misreading him
There's a very real sense in which each state follows from each prior state, sure. A good take will cause you to be careful about which broad directions you set course for and which content you consume. A bad one will cause you to dismiss your own responsibility for anything.
“And yet, everything you think and do arises from this ocean of prior causes. So - what you do with your luck, and the tools with which you do it, even down to the level of the effort and discipline you manage summon in each moment, is *more* in the way of luck.” - SH
The rest of the quote: Now, most people resist this idea, seemingly at any intellectual cost, for reasons that I can’t understand. Because this single insight is the antidote to arrogance and hatred, and a profound basis for compassion for others who are less lucky than you are.
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IMO: no matter who you think you are, what you think your education/prior success/popularity says about you, what your "role" is, there will likely come a moment when it matters whether your ego rests primarily on status or scrappiness 