Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️

The article as a whole read as very apocalyptic to me, and that matches the reactions I've seen elsewhere. Unlikely to spread to healthier pops significantly, immunocompetent people don't really get severe Candida. Very suspicious of the death projections.

Note that determining cause of death here is often hard -"what killed her, was it the cancer, or the chemo, or the Acinetobacter infection?" E.g., a lot of the deaths attributed to resistant bugs may be of folks already on death's door.

Yes, but let's not act like such a thing is impossible to begin to model.

At the level of the individual, it may never be possible to fully appreciate the significance of ultimate vs. proximate contributing causal events re: death or to really defend the counterfactual. We can do *a lot* more at the population level.

Yeah it would be interesting to see an estimate of excess mortality due to drug resistant infections -wonder if someone has tried.

I mean... this *is* what they're trying to do, no?

It is certainly true that medical studies sometimes have absolutely fatal methodological errors. But it's *insane* to use that to argue that a particular study which you have not read has similar flaws.