Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️

I’m skeptical of the statement in the article that drug resistant infections will kill more people than cancer in 2050.

That isn't a fair representation.

FWIW, as someone with some relevant expertise (microbiology PhD) I tend to agree with Bob here -a bad problem, but not nearly as apocalyptic as the media (and some scientists tbf) make out.

The article as a whole read as very apocalyptic to me, and that matches the reactions I've seen elsewhere. Unlikely to spread to healthier pops significantly, immunocompetent people don't really get severe Candida. Very suspicious of the death projections.

Note that determining cause of death here is often hard -"what killed her, was it the cancer, or the chemo, or the Acinetobacter infection?" E.g., a lot of the deaths attributed to resistant bugs may be of folks already on death's door.

Yes, but let's not act like such a thing is impossible to begin to model.

At the level of the individual, it may never be possible to fully appreciate the significance of ultimate vs. proximate contributing causal events re: death or to really defend the counterfactual. We can do *a lot* more at the population level.