What scale do you think is implied by the article? It's very clear about the numbers and the populations afflicted.
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At the level of the individual, it may never be possible to fully appreciate the significance of ultimate vs. proximate contributing causal events re: death or to really defend the counterfactual. We can do *a lot* more at the population level.
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Not sure if I've read this particular study -I may have looked into it a while back- but there have been a lot of similar projections. But the main thing is I'm skeptical of the current death numbers which these projections are based on.
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How are the numbers you're skeptical of calculated, and what problems do you see with the methodology? (Genuinely curious!)
End of conversation
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