I would predict the ones with high interest.
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1) I've founded one of the largestly held private consulting companies, been a principle in another of similar size, and founded a third, all of which still exist today in some form or other. Average people can learn the syntax, just like they can learn basic mathematics.
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2) The percentage of people that can articulate their ideas clearly in words or writing and the number of people who can code clearly is lower. The number of people who can solve real world problems is significantly lower. The number who can continuously adapt to change is lower.
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3) The number of people who can continuously solve problems under continuous technological change and do so well enough to compete in the job market is smaller still. The number that can solve reasonably hard problems in reasonable time frames, when working in teams, smaller.
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6) Programming is a language with a grammar, vocabulary, and syntax. But just as some of us are capable of complex text and speech, and some of us not, and this ability remains the same across all fields, with pure mathematics and mathematical physics two of the hardest.
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6) In software, the power law is persistent: 20% of people do 80% of the work, and the top 10% carry everyone else, with the top 1% making the difference. And anyone who has been in the business knows the cultural (and racial) aggregate differences in coding ability.
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7) Russia and Ukraine have large poor populations, an excellent education system, a culture of engineering and personal responsibility for engineering quality. It is also the one of the best businesses because coding is hard to tax or feed corruption.
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7) India has huge population, only 300M of which are in the real economy, but because of scale it provides asymmetric resources to the west with something that is hard to tax, corrupt, is exportable, and does not require many resources.
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