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Planning fallacy seems to me to result from the fact that estimating time is really hard and in some sense impossible since unexpected things always happen and can't be really taken into account in an actual prediction.
The interesting thing is that people rarely if ever adjust for unexpected barriers, which occur frequently enough that they should be... expected :)
Exactly but even knowing about them, how should one account for them? Best case estimate + X%? There seems to be no obvious way of accommodating them so if an estimate is demanded what is one to do but to forget about them altogether.
Also, unexpected things happen because of routine errors, which can be taken into account, and new ideas, which we cannot accommodate for even in principle,
Thinking of the planning fallacy: take the example of your commute — imagine the difference in your state of mind / perception of the present .. when you just start early, drive calmly, breathe, think, enjoy vs. cramming/overestimating ability/rushing/speeding/bird-delivering
For me, understanding the likelihood of biases/predispositions/patterns of thought/fallacies is useful for error correction, and therefore useful toward enjoying the present and becoming better down the road. We don't have to call them biases, but it's good to put a name to them.
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