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webdevMason's profile
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️
Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️
@webdevMason

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Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️

@webdevMason

patreon.com/masonhartman
Joined July 2015

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    1. David Deutsch‏ @DavidDeutschOxf 9 Jan 2019
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      David Deutsch Retweeted Nassim Nicholas Taleb

      The whole concept of bias is a misconception. So-called 'biases' are just errors. Thinking is error correction—which biases are not immune to. Hence patterns of errors in the outcomes of thinking are not explained by biases but by whatever is sabotaging error correction.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1082965818231672833 …

      David Deutsch added,

      Nassim Nicholas TalebVerified account @nntaleb
      NEXT BS PSYCHOLOGY BUSTING project: Count how many of these "biases" are errors or we have the wrong model. E.g. "sunk cost" not an error if you use P/L as info from environment. Heuristic in #SkininTheGame: if not present in Erasmus, it doesn't exist Remember Psych is BS #Lindy pic.twitter.com/Iv6eRtNLT4
      27 replies 58 retweets 219 likes
    2. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason 9 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @DavidDeutschOxf

      What category of thing can systematically or seemingly systematically sabotage error correction? A false belief/bad theory?

      7 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
    3. David Deutsch‏ @DavidDeutschOxf 9 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @webdevMason

      Pure falsehoods can only do this by very bad luck. Generically it's hangups that do it. Like the difference between false philosophy and bad philosophy.

      3 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
    4. Malcolm Ocean (200/1000 pull-ups)‏ @Malcolm_Ocean 9 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @DavidDeutschOxf @webdevMason

      Is there a piece about the "hangups" concept I've heard you and @reasonisfun use? The colloquial understanding of it seems to fit reasonably well, and I'm wondering if there's a more elaborated model of eg the lifecycle of hangups. How they're created, maintained, transformed?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. David Deutsch‏ @DavidDeutschOxf 9 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @Malcolm_Ocean @webdevMason @reasonisfun

      Not really. Some hangups are anti-rational memes. All are installed and maintained by the person's own creativity. All involve cycles of thinking.

      4 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
    6. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason 10 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @DavidDeutschOxf @Malcolm_Ocean @reasonisfun

      But what... is this? If it survives iterative feedback & is maintained rather than quelled by feedback + creativity, it has to be pretty sticky, right? Is this an ego/social thing?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Sam‏ @Crit_Rat 10 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @webdevMason @DavidDeutschOxf and

      Usually, people don’t know that they have hangups, so there is no feedback.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Lulie‏ @reasonisfun 10 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @Crit_Rat @webdevMason and

      Yes: One mechanism hangups use is hiding themselves from their holder. Sometimes you can't even tell directly anything is wrong (only have indirect evidence there's a hangup), let alone *what* is. This makes it harder to find and change them, increasing their stickiness.

      4 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason 10 Jan 2019
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      Replying to @reasonisfun @Crit_Rat and

      This definitely isn’t the case for a lot of the the phenomena we call biases, though. Many of them (e.g. planning fallacy) are famously unmitigated by awareness of them

      12:54 AM - 10 Jan 2019
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      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Lulie‏ @reasonisfun 10 Jan 2019
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          Replying to @webdevMason @Crit_Rat and

          That's because the described bias is not actually the mistake. In the case of 'biases', usually what's going on is something more detailed and nuanced. *Sometimes* the bias does describe it, but then recognising it helps.

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Lulie‏ @reasonisfun 10 Jan 2019
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          Replying to @reasonisfun @webdevMason and

          Though being aware of a hangup doesn't always help! Hangups use other mechanisms too (and may not use this one).

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Hunter‏ @HunterBergsma 10 Jan 2019
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          Replying to @webdevMason @reasonisfun and

          Cognitive dissonance is a big bad erroneous, often-unmitigated bugger as well

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Matjaž Leonardis‏ @MatjazLeonardis 10 Jan 2019
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          Replying to @webdevMason @reasonisfun and

          Planning fallacy seems to me to result from the fact that estimating time is really hard and in some sense impossible since unexpected things always happen and can't be really taken into account in an actual prediction.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason 10 Jan 2019
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          Replying to @MatjazLeonardis @reasonisfun and

          The interesting thing is that people rarely if ever adjust for unexpected barriers, which occur frequently enough that they should be... expected :)

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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