Every time someone says "don't worry, the big companies won't leave" due to e.g. SF's increasingly insane regulatory structure, start-ups should be hearing the silent "...but they'd be crazy to *start* here" at the end
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Shouldn't underestimate the ludicrous advantages bestowed on the extant Schelling point in an industry where you can scale almost arbitrarily with capital & are generally bottlenecked by the talent pool, but SF is determined to keep raising the pot for someone to dethrone it
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Replying to @webdevMason
From the perspective of human well-being, distributing what is currently very heavily concentrated in the bay area to the rest of the country is probably net good. But, SF probably wouldn't view it that way once the tax revenue begins shifting to "anywhere but here".
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Replying to @swelljoe
There are massive productivity/growth advantages to having concentrated specialized talent pools & to having competitive capital rather than dispersed benefactor-fiefdoms — this is both why SF is still winning & why *somebody* should win
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Replying to @webdevMason @swelljoe
Tougher to care if you think of "tech" as insta-twit-book + some VR stuff or whatever; it's easy to dismiss the value there... but, for example, if a really promising biotech firm is treating cancer, you want them to have unfettered access to capital & the best employable talent
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Replying to @webdevMason
I don't think that, but quite a bit of the valley tech startup infra does. Plenty of biotech (maybe most, though it isn't something I've looked at recently) happens elsewhere.
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Replying to @swelljoe
This is true. A lot of tech happens elsewhere. But insofar as its productivity/growth is bottlenecked by talent — which I would argue is often the case — it's happening slower than it would if talent were even more aggregated
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Replying to @webdevMason
That feels like starting from the conclusion (SF is the best place for all tech startups) and working backward. Many kinds of tech talent, biotech in particular, isn't concentrated primarily in the valley. Silicon Valley was a happy accident...and, maybe replicable?
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Replying to @swelljoe
This is absolutely not what I'm saying. I'm saying that employable talent aggregation matters. I have no particular attachment to SF, it just happens to be the place where much of the talent is *currently* aggregated
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Replying to @webdevMason
I don't wholly disagree with you. But, I think there could be more than one hub (capital/talent is distributable/plentiful), and I think that would be a net positive. And, maybe having SF encourage it to happen with not-quite-ideal policies might not be bad in the long run.
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As long as you have immigration restrictions, hubs that aggregate talent locked out of larger markets are really good. Not sure there's a good case for dispersing talent otherwise, though it's probably inevitable due to individual preferences (not everyone wants to live in CA)
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Replying to @webdevMason @swelljoe
I don't think it's good that SF is undercutting its own ability to grow. It's likely destroying tremendous value by funneling large amounts of money to e.g. landlords (directly & through employees' use of their necessarily bloated salaries) rather than to spending toward growth
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