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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Jul 24

    The dark mode is now live on 🥳Look for the little switch in the navigation bar 🤩

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  2. 2 hours ago

    The lower 48 is entering into an active pattern after a few days of quiet weather. We take a look at the first system today in 's blog:

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  3. 7 hours ago

    A Great Lakes cutter system still looks set to bring a swath of moderate snow to parts of the midwest through Sunday, while a second Pacific storm brings snow to the Rockies. MI and parts of CO are the best bets for significant accumulations. JF

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  4. 7 hours ago

    Strong to locally severe thunderstorms will be possible in the western Gulf coast vicinity tonight as a belt of strong midlevel flow overlaps modest moisture return. Poor low level lapse rates will limit instability. JF

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  5. 21 hours ago

    As the lower 48 enters an active pattern, we do a little review of your winter precipitation types. Find them in 's blog here:

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  6. 22 hours ago

    A moderately intense surface low ahead of a developing longwave looks to spread a swath of snow through the midwest and Michigan to SE Canada and parts of N Maine. Most accumulations won't be significant, but locally plowable snow is possible. JF

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  7. Dec 10

    A strengthening surface cyclone will bring heavy rain and some snow to the central and eastern US through the weekend. In fact, moisture return in the system's warm sector could be sufficient for an isolated severe threat tomorrow. JF

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  8. Dec 10

    Strong ridging will once again bring record highs to a swath of the central US today. Positive temperature anomalies, centered around Missouri, will approach 30°F. JF

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  9. Dec 10

    If the aurora is visible anywhere tonight, it'll be the easiest to see over parts of Montana, North Dakota, and New England. These areas will see largely clear skies, largely at the hands of synoptic-scale pressure rises. See more with our free GFS: JF

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  10. Dec 9

    It will be possible to see the Aurora in parts of the northern US tonight. But will the skies be clear enough for a light show where you live? To help you find out, analyzed cloud cover across the northern US in his new blog:

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  11. Dec 9

    Precipitable water imagery can be an effective, and pretty, way to track cold-season warm southerly flow. Watch as this week's cyclone, modeled by the GFS, picks up a plume of Pacific and Gulf moisture in its warm sector. Heavy rain may occur here! JF

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  12. Dec 9

    Powerful central US ridging, deep east coast troughing, and a bit of Rocky Mountain downsloping mean parts of Montana, South Dakota, and Wyoming are as warm, if not a little warmer, than much of Florida today! The warmth will shift east this week. JF

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  13. Dec 9

    Light snow showers ahead of a moisture-starved shortwave will turn much of the Northeast into something of a winter wonderland today. Accumulations should stay light, but briefly moderate snow could lead to slick roads and hazardous commuting. JF

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  14. Dec 8

    The weather remains quiet until the weekend when our next system rolls in, though there's some uncertainty involved. Read 's blog here:

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  15. Dec 8

    Sensible weather may be slow today, but it's still awe-inspiring. Take a look at the ECMWF modeled WV imagery for tomorrow morning. Notice the closed low south of CA, and trace the jet from strong central US ridging to deep east troughing. This product is in our model lab. JF

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  16. Dec 8

    The big temperature story this week will be the significant warmth moving across the country ahead of an impressive trough. Today, parts of Montana have highs warmer than most of Florida! See a loop of forecast anomalies from our free GFS: JF

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  17. Dec 8

    Strong offshore flow will continue across SoCal today, with powerful wind gusts continuing to foster an environment favorable for fire spread. At the hands of downsloping, the locally roaring winds will remain very dry today. JF

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  18. Dec 8

    The big weather story of the second half of this week will be a hefty longwave trough that looks to dip into the CONUS. Heavy precipitation in the Southwest Thursday will usher in this active period, as a SoCal closed low phases with northern energy. JF

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  19. Dec 7

    It's been a dry couple days for most of the CONUS, with below average precipitable water the norm as of late. However, a significant late-week system will likely bring Pacific moisture return to much of the country. This and more from our free GFS: JF

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  20. Dec 7

    Strong wind gusts will continue across the terrain of SoCal into tomorrow. The gusts, peaking in intensity this evening, will bring critical fire weather conditions to the region. Sporadic fire weather will continue until SoCal eventually gets rain. JF

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  21. Dec 7

    A look ahead with the NCEP CFS model (found in the model lab) shows mean ridging for much of the US during January. Much of the country is modeled to be warmer than average for the month, too. Of course, short-term patterns can differ considerably. JF

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