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Special thank you to my 1 new followers from Sudan last week. http://tweepsmap.com/!weatherbuzzword …pic.twitter.com/fwvM8ZHymr
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I don't get harping on indefinitely replication since that isn't required for science, or technically for math is required but is not unique to frequentism. For example no infinite replication here but CIs were useful. We have convergence of integrals, limits, derivatives, etc.pic.twitter.com/zJhqrky7EE
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#statstwitter#Probability and#statistics theme Christmas ornament. Got p-values, Fisher, linear regression, many distributions, and also Bayes. Also See my http://www.statisticool.com/ornament.htm pic.twitter.com/Mp6Q9dDcAo
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I'd kick it out with my shoes/statistics softwarepic.twitter.com/cqXcSJBVic
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Yes, he did. Also all intelligence agencies said Russia interfered.pic.twitter.com/XojczHBKY1
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Special thank you to my 1 new followers from Ethiopia last week. http://tweepsmap.com/!weatherbuzzword …pic.twitter.com/UTJu8b0G3W
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Simple example of how a prior can fail, even if it is believed really, really strongly. Another example is Ohwadi et al in "On the Brittleness of Bayesian Inference" https://epubs.siam.org/doi/pdf/10.1137/130938633 …pic.twitter.com/JC5APEYBWF
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Also there have been cases where assuming a prior didnt turn out great (Jeffrey's with prior=0 for plate techtonics, the search for MH370) General issue explained in the following picpic.twitter.com/FAJqksRxBT
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It is hardly literally arbitrary though since theory backs it uppic.twitter.com/IcYYwj9ZSB
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One can simply observe, in coin flip experiments for example, the relative frequency of heads settling down to a horizontal line, and it gets closer as the number of flips increase. What is this limiting behavior of not "probability"? It certainly isn't a subjective belief.pic.twitter.com/KlPUV14jK7
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Special thank you to my 3 new followers from USA last week. http://tweepsmap.com/!weatherbuzzword …pic.twitter.com/n31ORSHEl4
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Exactly, one isolated p-value is an indication. Like this, where one of the first few experiments isn't conclusivepic.twitter.com/QpylrvcEMw
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A single experiment? Not sure I would be convinced even if the p-value is really small. I might be convinced if there is stat sig for a few replications though or via meta analysispic.twitter.com/WtqouVqAIQ
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I have 3 new followers from Russia, and more last week. See http://tweepsmap.com/!weatherbuzzword …pic.twitter.com/pb3aTfjUl7
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I'm submitting two. First one is MGK in Braille, but using bullet holes. Second is MGK in Morse code (I like your initials in Morse code, the way the dot moves inside the dashes reading left to right). Cheerspic.twitter.com/1sgJfWE1r1
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