Walking On Sunshine

@walkingonsunsh

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Los Angeles, CA
Vrijeme pridruživanja: travanj 2018.

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  1. 11. sij

    "The business meetings were non-productive, with one Falcon rep appearing at the meeting with visibly large amounts of cash in his front pocket and back pocket and in a bag, and wearing what appeared to be many tens of thousands of dollars in men’s jewelry made of gold" lmao

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  2. 11. sij

    This suggests that one of the largest house of brands in CA is alleged to be selling across state lines, and into the black market in CA. DD in cannabis seems like a good time.

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  3. 10. sij
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  4. 10. sij

    This is insane. According to the initial press release Falcon had product in 80% of California dispensaries, yet couldn't produce audited finacial statements?

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  5. If you back out quantity from ASP of product per gram of cannabinoid for the market leaders you get some pretty small numbers compared to what's coming off the field. Where is it all going?

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  6. It just doesn't take very much acreage. Even after accounting for the ultra high failure rate from unstable genetics, and lack of common knowledge. Price compression has been observed in wholesale markets, but retail seems stubbornly high.

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  7. But with all of the biomass I've personally seen coming off the field, plus the additional biomass I haven't seen, and with the processing capacity I've both witnessed and helped build, I cannot understand how retail prices have remained so sticky?

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  8. Just spent time with several clients in the cannabis and industrial hemp industries. The lack of reliable (improving) market data was a recipe for price anchoring. The USDA framework has the potential to derail the neat curve I've forecasted ....

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  9. Coming out the other side with a compelling long is low probability, finding something unique also fairly low probability. But it is fun to imagine getting the mortgage crisis or Enron right, and therein lies the risk of looking for an answer others have already made for me.

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  10. Debating actually doing a dive into Tesla's accounting. Seems about as value add as a full write up of Berkshire but having a hard time not having a fully formed opinion on TSLA. 😒

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  11. The responses to this thread seem high. Many commenters north of 10%, I'm shocked that level of conviction is common in seed stage investing. You'd think the opposite eg 100 $100,000 checks in a $10mm fund.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Family offices, the highly secretive firms overseeing trillions in wealth, are slowly embracing transparency as they chase direct deals — and company execs want to know who's behind the money. New feature from me:

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. lis 2019.

    Develop new algorithms as a PhD student: $30k/year Use pre-built sklearn models as a data scientist: $120k/year Build regression models in excel as a hedge fund analyst: $200k/year Make pie charts as a CEO: $14 million/year

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    22. lis 2019.

    There is good news and bad news for Mexico in the coming Disorder. On one hand, the country has lashed itself to the American market through NAFTA2. On the other hand, cartel violence is only getting worse. The second in the Cutting Room Files series.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Word of the day is 'bayard' (1600s): someone with an unshakeable self-confidence that is rooted in ignorance.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. lis 2019.

    The most Chinese story today. A man in Guangxi paid 2m to have a competitor killed. The guy kept half, hired another for 1m, then another until the 5th was hired for 100k. Figured not worth to kill for so little, he contacted the target trying to fake a death. All 6 in jail now.

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    8. lis 2019.

    "The brain is no place for serious thinking" If you're thinking about something important and complicated, write it down.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. ruj 2019.

    A history lesson for people who think that history doesn't matter: What's the big deal about railroad tracks? The US standard railroad gauge (distance between the rails) is 4 feet, 8.5 inches. That's an exceedingly odd number. Why was that gauge used? Well, because that's the way

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    20. lip 2019.

    One of the best explanation on socialism and capitalism in one minute by cc:

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