Late night theory: AIs and robots will replace all the geniuses and all the dumbest functional humans, leaving only the mediocre human minds as the new fittest that survive.
AlphaGoZero replaces the geniuses
Very small shell scripts replace idiots
We mediocre types win
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Not even kidding. What is common to genius and low-skill domains is that they tend to be bounded. Genius domains just have more richness for intuition to work on
Mediocre intelligences tend to deal with the open, tedious messy domains where neither genius, nor stupidity work
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The straight-up arms race scenario of trying to be “smarter” than machines always seemed strategically wrong. John Henry wrong.
This “dealing with open systems” is a kind of intelligence but an oblique kind. One that projects to mediocrity on regular intelligence vector.
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Precisely. People forget the biggest B Ark lesson: they’re the ones who survive and thrive
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Douglas Adams had a great bit about this in HHGTTG - a colony of humans divided into 3 ships -
1) artists/models/sports stars/CEOs
2) plumbers/carpenters/farmers
3) middle management/sales people (the mediocre)
ship #3 was diverted on purpose, ending up on early Earth...
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"genius" is too ambiguous a category. High IQ folks would be replaced in a few games and abstract theory tasks, but not in most things, until they replace everyone in most everything.
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