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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 16 Mar 2018
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      Trivial: imagining linearly extrapolated futures (eg: "extreme capitalism") Easy: imagining nonlinearly extrapolated (eg yin-yang cyclic) futures Hard: imagining evolved futures with mutations Really hard: imagining futures being invented by actions of imaginative people

      12 replies 31 retweets 137 likes
    2. Prasanna K‏ @prasanna_says 16 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @vgr

      Best is to effect the future, using control & co-creation, rather than become a slave to 'improved prediction methods'. See also "the first good paper I've seen" according to @vkhosla: https://www.khoslaventures.com/wp-content/uploads/What_makes_entrepreneurs_entrepreneurial.pdf …

      1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 16 Mar 2018
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      Replying to @prasanna_says @vkhosla

      Inventing the future is always preferable of course, but is only possible in very narrow domains for any individual. Prediction is of interest whether or not creation is more effective.

      9:44 AM - 16 Mar 2018
      • 3 Likes
      • ∃𝑋[∅∈𝑋∧∀𝑦(𝑦∈𝑋⇒𝑦∪{𝑦}∈𝑋)] Gahlord Dewald Kyle Russell
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Prasanna K‏ @prasanna_says 16 Mar 2018
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          Replying to @vgr @vkhosla

          On the contrary, prediction works only in very narrow circumstances Since the future is effectively unknowable But it's comforting to improve prediction Have you read about effectuation? More entrepreneurs at all scales create the future than get credit for it

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 16 Mar 2018
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          Replying to @prasanna_says @vkhosla

          Yes, it's vaguely interesting. You can predict anything, from climate futures to all of history. It doesn't work too well, but it's incorrect to say it doesn't work at all. It is not effectively unknowable. Perhaps not "usefully" knowable. But I like useless knowledge too.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation

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