Trivial: imagining linearly extrapolated futures (eg: "extreme capitalism")
Easy: imagining nonlinearly extrapolated (eg yin-yang cyclic) futures
Hard: imagining evolved futures with mutations
Really hard: imagining futures being invented by actions of imaginative people
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that one is annoying to use and distracting rhetorically at this point
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Best is to effect the future, using control & co-creation, rather than become a slave to 'improved prediction methods'.
See also "the first good paper I've seen" according to : khoslaventures.com/wp-content/upl
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Inventing the future is always preferable of course, but is only possible in very narrow domains for any individual. Prediction is of interest whether or not creation is more effective.
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which is why I'm interested in psychohistory as my main life mission :D
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This book draft (samoburja.com ) is my work on the imaginative people building the future theory of history.
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(hegelian dialectics) but yes on creativity-centeric civil society
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Impossible: imagining distant futures created by combinatory combination of near futures.
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