I’ve always thought ‘absence of evidence is not evidence of absence’ is flawed for material truths because of the second law: presence of X, X being at different entropy from background, would necessarily produce evidence.
No fire without smoke basically en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evidence_
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Yeah true, but as with all things Bayesian it seems to miss the point by letting the universe of discourse be effectively unbounded
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Wait that example may be backwards 🤔
I’ll think of a better one when I’m in a smarter mood... general point being I think I have a non-Bayesian reason to be skeptical of absence of evidence principle
