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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 2 Mar 2018
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    Thought of a phrase: alt confidence. The generally higher sense of self certainty that comes with adopting fringe views. I think it’s a selection effect. People who can’t tolerate high uncertainty centrifuge farther out to edge.

    11:48 PM - 2 Mar 2018
    • 24 Retweets
    • 137 Likes
    • Arel Ra Vivek Haldar Josh Mize ChristZen 🅱🅴🅽 elliot ecommandeur Gavin Deichen Allen Stenhaus
    11 replies 24 retweets 137 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Navin Kabra‏ @ngkabra 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        This is the Dunning Kruger effect applied to political views under the assumption that smarter people's heads are full of ambiguity/uncertainty and are likely to be more centrist?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @ngkabra

        Yes that’s the rough hypothesis. I think I had an earlier tweet a few weeks ago explicitly linking this to D-K

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @n_z_m__a

        That assumes the default is to start out on the fringe and move to the center. I don’t think that’s true, or that most people are that empiricist. The alts move out, the norms don’t move in.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. A. S.‏ @LoCtrl 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        The corollary is that one's absence of strong views generally leads to one being classified as a centrist.

        0 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
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      1. Isaac M. Morehouse‏ @isaacmorehouse 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        Def true sometimes. But the thoughtless confidence in status quo sometimes can be very intense too. Even stiflingly so.

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      2. Gavin Deichen‏ @gdeichen 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        @KennethFolk This is an interesting idea, but fringe views are not necessarily incorrect or any easier to swallow whole. I do think that more fringe views are more likely to land you in an echo chamber, though.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Ben King‏ @Grimeandreason 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @gdeichen @vgr @KennethFolk

        Echo chambers might sound more intense, but massive canyons still echo, too.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Lewis OS‏ @lewis_os 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        Idk, Whig history certainly isn't tolerant of uncertainty, but seems to be an underlying assumption of most of the centre.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Ben King‏ @Grimeandreason 3 Mar 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        On pe could argue that faith in the status quo is also a search for certainty, or, contentness in certainty. They react very badly to on-point fringe criticism.

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