Near-future scifi story premise: world where it is illegal to have nations larger than 50 million. UN has automatic obligation to launch a coalition to militarily break up any attempt to form larger nations.
That's like saying a bunch of welded steel balls is the same as a bunch tied together with string
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It is the same if the string is just decorative and placed in such a way as to obscure the welds that are still there.
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Is that how it played with USSR? Seems to me many of the welds were really broken. Especially in former soviet republics where oil and gas opened up to foreign companies.
End of conversation
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