Sounds about right, except Russian capability seems a bit overstated. They’ll consolidate near-abroad but don’t seem to have serious conventional hegemonic potential beyond. Mostly cyber-FUD-paralysis capacity. Economic depth is the real game. Everyone is shallowing out fast.https://twitter.com/20committee/status/947554098215292928 …
China hasn’t yet really flexed its muscles lately so unclear. Time is on their side re Taiwan and everything else they care about.
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It seems like most of the countries are localized, to extend control beyond borders is very costly both economical and political.
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Yup power projection has become harder
End of conversation
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