Huh this very ordinary nyt op-ed RT with highlights called out might be my most faved (953)/RTed (443) tweet ever. Mildly offended that it isn’t one of my artisanal bon mots.
People really like probability on christmas huh
Quote Tweet
Surprisingly cogent meditation on probabilistic thinking in the NYT.
Takeaways:
1. People round probabilities up to 100% or down to 0%.
2. People call probability “wrong” if <50% events happen
3. People need a story to take <50% scenarios seriously
nytimes.com/2017/12/24/opi

