I think there's a non-trivial chance (>1%) Homo sapiens will be extinct within a few centuries due to fairly banal x-risks (no AGIs or nukes or asteroids or permafrost methane catastrophes needed)
Surprising part is that the thought doesn't bother me.
At all.
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What's an example of one of these relatively banal x-risks? Need examples for arguments with MIRI goons, & my standard "nukes" argument feels stale.
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People just not wanting to reproduce for various reasons, men giving up on women and switching to sexbots, child-rearing culture collapsing (babies need villages etc)
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Methinks you spend too much time in Seattleite antinatalist bubble though, perhaps :D. Adding a 4th: Christianity makes a full comeback and humanity dies of boredom.
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Nah I'm not antinatal, it's just macroeconomics. Everywhere living standards rise birth rates fall. Mechanisms and justifications vary. Religion is irrelevant. Philosophy is irrelevant.
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Kids basically lower quality of life at higher material standards of living. With birth control, you have to go into increasing denial and oppression of women to maintain replacement rate. There are no incentives. None. The brain interrupts inclusive fitness dynamics
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(i do appreciate your differential x-diagnosis; but think you underestimate the human capacity for cognitive dissonance, esp. when survival is at stake)
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if we reach low enough pop levels, does 5000 acres per child change the equation at all?
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The ~~ indicates strikethrough. Come on , I know you're on a roll, I know you want to implement text formatting...
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