I think there's a non-trivial chance (>1%) Homo sapiens will be extinct within a few centuries due to fairly banal x-risks (no AGIs or nukes or asteroids or permafrost methane catastrophes needed)
Surprising part is that the thought doesn't bother me.
At all.
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What's an example of one of these relatively banal x-risks? Need examples for arguments with MIRI goons, & my standard "nukes" argument feels stale.
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People just not wanting to reproduce for various reasons, men giving up on women and switching to sexbots, child-rearing culture collapsing (babies need villages etc)
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Higher technological development narrows the relevant dimensions of variance, increases irrelevant ones
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True, that's why my probability estimate is non-trivial but low

