I think there's a non-trivial chance (>1%) Homo sapiens will be extinct within a few centuries due to fairly banal x-risks (no AGIs or nukes or asteroids or permafrost methane catastrophes needed)
Surprising part is that the thought doesn't bother me.
At all.
Conversation
Replying to
What's an example of one of these relatively banal x-risks? Need examples for arguments with MIRI goons, & my standard "nukes" argument feels stale.
1
1
Replying to
People just not wanting to reproduce for various reasons, men giving up on women and switching to sexbots, child-rearing culture collapsing (babies need villages etc)
2
4
Methinks you spend too much time in Seattleite antinatalist bubble though, perhaps :D. Adding a 4th: Christianity makes a full comeback and humanity dies of boredom.
1
1
Replying to
Nah I'm not antinatal, it's just macroeconomics. Everywhere living standards rise birth rates fall. Mechanisms and justifications vary. Religion is irrelevant. Philosophy is irrelevant.
3
3
Replying to
There's no "we"... it's the one area where even the worst kind of government coercion is unsustainable. The only way out of our evolutionary cul-de-sac is actually artificial wombs.

