I think there's a non-trivial chance (>1%) Homo sapiens will be extinct within a few centuries due to fairly banal x-risks (no AGIs or nukes or asteroids or permafrost methane catastrophes needed) Surprising part is that the thought doesn't bother me. At all.
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Replying to @vgr
What's an example of one of these relatively banal x-risks? Need examples for arguments with MIRI goons, & my standard "nukes" argument feels stale.
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Replying to @spiderfoods
People just not wanting to reproduce for various reasons, men giving up on women and switching to sexbots, child-rearing culture collapsing (babies need villages etc)
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Replying to @spiderfoods @vgr
Methinks you spend too much time in Seattleite antinatalist bubble though, perhaps :D. Adding a 4th: Christianity makes a full comeback and humanity dies of boredom.
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Replying to @spiderfoods
Nah I'm not antinatal, it's just macroeconomics. Everywhere living standards rise birth rates fall. Mechanisms and justifications vary. Religion is irrelevant. Philosophy is irrelevant.
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There's no "we"... it's the one area where even the worst kind of government coercion is unsustainable. The only way out of our evolutionary cul-de-sac is actually artificial wombs.
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