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10/ More calibration. An ordinary startup is like 1 child. If it grows into unicorn, it's like 3-4 kids for the founder if they stay with it
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11/ Political ambitions I think are higher. A local election bid is like 1 child if you win. National-level is like 2. President=10
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12/ The trick to baby equivalent things is that *if* they succeed, they demand particular levels of attention/commitment for rest of life
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13/ So we actually bring the same kind of thinking to managing ambition as we do to child-rearing and ask similar questions
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15/ Answering my own q about why we lower sights through life in general if we're not winning egregiously, baby-economics provides answer
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16/ Merely making money is a close-ended problem to be solved, whether your horizon is the next month, the next year or retirement stash
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17/ A baby or baby-equivalent though is an open-ended commitment where it only makes sense if you are willing to plan for success
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18/ It is fine to view paychecks as just a close-ended way to pay bills. It's dumb *not* to wish a book to be open-ended success
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19/ Similarly, close-ended "3x flip in 2 years" startup logic doesn't work for same reason "have baby and kill it at age 3" doesn't work
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21/ Fewer people found startups at 40 than 25 (though more who do succeed) same reason fewer people have kids late (bio clock aside)...
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22/ You rationally estimate that your available rest-of-life open-ended best-case attention budget for "one more kid" gets lower with age
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