12/ The test here is the tvtropes vs. wikipedia bunnytrail test.
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Replying to @vgr
13/ It is impossible to read just 1 tvtropes page. They're like chips. You'll invariably read 5-10 min, and the reading is NEVER difficult
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Replying to @vgr
14/ Information/stories about tulip mania type things are like this: the going never gets hard, ever. You can endlessly explore fun trails
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Replying to @vgr
Tulip biology, like cryptography, is deep and difficult. Blockchains mainly have a collector's complexity of many superficial differences.
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Replying to @atduskgreg @vgr
And thus far real world blockchain usage is primarily in a tvtropes space of funny anecdotes, cf. MtGox, Silk Road, etc.
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Replying to @atduskgreg
Tulip biology is a) naturally occurring b) not necessary to grok deeply to engineer/grow/sell c) no different from breeding other ag things
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Replying to @vgr
Wasn't the whole reason people thought Tulips had value because of how hard they are to grow and preserve?
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Replying to @atduskgreg
I'm not going to attempt to convince you here. Place your bets for/against blockchain tech as you like. I'm for.
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Replying to @vgr
As a field I think tech is both bad at taking big risks and bad at admitting when "the hot new thing" turns out to be a tulip bubble...
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Replying to @atduskgreg @vgr
...getting better at both feels hard because they're temperamental opposites. But from an efficiency POV fail fast would help try more stuff
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I think actual tulip manias are rare in tech. What is common is mistiming an innovation too early/before enablers are in place
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