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6/ Tulip manias otoh are complex... there's a lot of excitement, and _apparently_ a story to tell, with events, players, developments, news
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7/ But like a ponzi scheme, when you dig, you find the root cause fundamentally underwhelming. You can't dig deep because there's no depth
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9/ If there are no complicated branchings and twists and turns to the story it's a pet rock. Test: it's a wikipedia 1-pager.
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11/ We're left with distinguishing tulip manias and the real deal. Here the test is equally simple: learning never gets seriously difficult
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13/ It is impossible to read just 1 tvtropes page. They're like chips. You'll invariably read 5-10 min, and the reading is NEVER difficult
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14/ Information/stories about tulip mania type things are like this: the going never gets hard, ever. You can endlessly explore fun trails
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15/ Whereas for "real deal" topic, you will invariably run into a difficulty wall where you realize you have to do hard thinking to proceed
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17/ Why does depth/difficulty matter? The presence of learning depth is necessary and sufficient for self-sustained generativity
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18/ When a subject lacks depth, creating appearance of generative variety is hard work. Tvtropes is primarily a huge pile of data/examples
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Tulip mania emerged from the invention of futures trading. Bitcoin may be a tulip, hard to say; cryptocurrency is here to stay.
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I agree with this. Note the interesting corollary: blockchain ideas that don't have a difficult core (:cough: most ICOs) are probably fake.