1/ I think one of the problems with consequentialism is that it presupposes that probabilities of outcomes can be known.
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Replying to @TaylorPearsonMe
2/ This simply isn’t true for most ethical choices we make in our lives.
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Replying to @TaylorPearsonMe
3/ Most of the ethical choices we make in life are filled with unknown unknowns so trying to calculate consequences is impossible
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Replying to @TaylorPearsonMe
This seems like a misunderstanding of consequentialism. It's merely the act of reasoning from ends to means, not deterministic ends.
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Replying to @vgr
Isn’t the act of reasoning from ends to means empty if the ends are unpredictable though? Or am I missing something?
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Replying to @vgr
No, but probabilities are pretty well known there. Works fine there. But what about when the outcomes are unclear?
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Then you apply taleb type optionality: you can seek serendipity. Luck itself can be a consequentialist goal.
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